Probability: Fundamental Concepts in Evidence-Based Medicine
Armed with a basic understanding of algebra and user-friendly. Statistical software most clinicians, and clinical researchers can follow the cookbook method of statistical inference.Problems quickly arise because the vast majority of medical research is not designed as simply as the examples given in. Basic statistics textbooks nor analyzed as simply as the shortcut methods often programmed beneath the layers of menus in. Easy-to-use software. Violations of assumptions that are necessary for a classic statistical method to be valid are more. The rule than the exception.However avoiding the, misinterpretation of statistical conclusions does not require advanced mastery of the mathematics. Of probability at the level of calculus. An effort to understand at least, qualitatively how to, measure the degree of belief. That an event will occur will go a long way in allowing non-mathematicians to make confident conclusions with valid methods.
.Two practical concepts should be understood up front: first understanding that, every probability or rate has a quantifiable,,, Uncertainty that is usually expressed as a range or confidence interval. Second that comparing, different rates observed. Between populations two, groups or, be must done relative to the error terms. This is the essence of statistical inference.
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