Letting denote the mean and standard deviation of the time series values Z1, Z2 ,...., Zn,it follows(as in Chapter 9)that one very approximate procedure is to decide that Z_bar is statistically different from zero and thus to include the constant term = p(B) p (BL)in the general Box-Jenkins model if absolute value of CC is greater than 2. Moreover,in order to determine which of the operators p(B),p (BL),q(B),and Q(BL) should be included in the general Box-Jenkins model,we do the following。
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