Basecaseanalysis
4.1. CO2 emission
The total CO2 emission in creases by more than 7 folds to 1934
million tCO2 in 2050 as compared to 208 million tCO2 in 2005,
whereas the total primary energy supply(TPES)grows by over 5
folds in the same period.The final demand for energy increases by
over 6 folds in the same period.Therefore,in the base case,the
CO2 intensity would in crease along with the increase in the
efficiency in energy use.As a result,there would be a cumulative
reduction inCO2 emissions during 45 year period of 36,403
million tCO2. The transport sector accounts for the largest share
(37%) in 2005 followed by the power sector(32%),industrial
sector (24%)and the other sectors(agricultural,residential and
commercial) (7%)(Fig. 1). In the base case,the share of the
transport sector would decrease from 37% in 2005 to 33% in 2050.
However, there would be a small increment in the share of the
power sector(32% in 2005 to 34% in 2050).Likewise,the share of
the industrial sector would also increase from 24% in 2005 to 29%
in 2050.The share of the other sectors have small share(7%)in
2005, which would decrease to 4% by 2050.The three sectors(i.e.,
power, transport and industrial sectors)would be the major
contributors (over93%)in the total CO2 emission from the
country throughout the planning horizon.
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Basecaseanalysis
4.1. CO2 Emission
Die totale CO2 uitstoot stygings met meer as 7 voue te 1934.
Miljoen tCO2 in 2050 Soos in vergelyking met 208 miljoen tCO2 in die 2005 ,.
terwyl die totale primêre bron van energie (TPEs) groei deur meer as 5.
vou in dieselfde period.The finale vraag. vir energie toeneem deur
meer as 6 plooie in dieselfde Period.Therefore, in die basis geval, die.
CO2 sterkte Saam met die verhoging sal in toename in die.
Use.As Energie doeltreffendheid in 'n resultaat, sou daar 'n kumulatiewe.
Vermindering InCO2 uitstoot tydens 45 jaar tydperk van 36.403
miljoen tCO2. Die vervoersektor is verantwoordelik vir die grootste deel.
(37%) in 2005 gevolg deur die Power Sektor (32%), Industrial.
Sektor (24%) en die ander sektore (Landbou, Woon en.
Commercial) (7%) (Fig 1).. . In die basis geval, die deel van die.
sal vervoersektor verminder van 37% in in 2005 tot 33% in 2050.
Maar, sou daar 'n klein toename van die aandeel van. wees
Power Sektor (32% in 2005 tot 34% in die 2050). .Likewise, Die aandeel van
die industriële sektor sal ook verhoog vanaf 24% in 2005 tot 29%.
in 2050.The deel van die ander sektore het 'n klein aandeel (7%) in.
2005, wat sal daal tot 4% deur 2050.The Drie. sektore (dws,
Power, Vervoer en industriële sektore) sou wees in die hoofvak.
bydraers (Over93%) in totale CO2 Emission uit Die Die.
Land Regdeur die horison beplanning.
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